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Heading into coaching camps, all 32 NFL groups have primarily taken form. So earlier than shaping accidents, benchings, firings, (extra) suspensions and scorching streaks begin the 2016 season, here is USA TODAY Sports activities’ annual projection of how the season will unfold with report projections for every staff based mostly on selecting all 256 video games, plus a bonus playoff forecast.
NFC EASTNew York Giants (9-7): This division is broad open, however New York may very well be poised to make a major leap. A protection that ranked final in 2015 acquired a $200 million improve and three of the membership’s first 4 draft picks after the Giants misplaced 5 video games they led within the closing minutes. However the D could solely want be serviceable if new head coach Ben McAdoo’s offense stays explosive. Dallas Cowboys (9-7): They’re banking on the offense to return to its 2014 kind with QB Tony Romo and WR Dez Bryant wholesome and first-round RB Ezekiel Elliott projected as a famous person. However what number of shootouts can the Cowboys survive with a protection riddled by suspensions?Washington Redskins (7-9): The reigning NFC East champs will not sneak up on anybody. Even with CB Josh Norman aboard, the protection stays a query. And the post-bye schedule is unforgiving with the Vikings and Packers visiting FedEx Subject earlier than the ‘Skins end with 4 of six on the street.Philadelphia Eagles (4-12): They junked the three-year Chip Kelly experiment and are rebooting on either side of the ball. And the transition will not be made any simpler with a slew of robust groups from the AFC and NFC North on the schedule. Endurance, Philly followers — it is what you achieve this effectively.
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NFC NORTHInexperienced Bay Packers (April 12): They may stumble out of the chute as they open on the street at steamy Jacksonville after which are the primary guests to Minnesota’s new constructing. However search for a rejuvenated group — QB Aaron Rodgers has his weapons again and LB Clay Matthews is again on the sting — to catch fireplace after that with 4 consecutive dates at Lambeau Subject.Minnesota Vikings (Could 11): US Financial institution Stadium ought to function a formidable staff for its inaugural season. Anticipate the Vikings, and particularly a probably dominant protection, to enhance total in 2016 even when they do not handle to retain the NFC North crown.Chicago Bears (7-9): Coach John Fox’s observe report suggests a four- to five-win enchancment in his second season. This protection might mature right into a scary bunch now that 3-4 scheme has taken root and has the personnel to execute it. However there appear to be too many points on offense for the Bear to make a playoff push.Detroit Lions (7-9): They have been one of many league’s finest groups within the second half of 2015 after a 1-7 begin. However they’re going to seemingly must embrace a tough philosophical shift as they embark on life after Calvin Johnson.
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NFC SOUTHCarolina Panthers (Could 11): Do not anticipate one other 15-win marketing campaign for the NFC champs, however that does not imply they’re any much less a risk to win the Tremendous Bowl. The league’s highest-scoring offense may very well be much more harmful with WR Kelvin Benjamin’s return, however the protection could take a step again with a new-look secondary.Atlanta Falcons (7-9): QB Matt Ryan and the protection should be far simpler after an up (6-1 begin) and down (2-7 end) 2015. Street video games in Oakland, Denver and Seattle recommend Atlanta would possibly nonetheless be a yr away.New Orleans Saints (7-9): The offense is at all times a top-five outfit below coach Sean Payton and QB Drew Brees. However even with newly added TE Coby Fleener and wholesome RB Mark Ingram within the fold, will they be capable of cowl for the protection on a weekly foundation? The guess right here isn’t any.Tampa Bay Buccaneers (6-10): They’re going to play six of eight video games at dwelling beginning Oct. 30, a stretch that might decide if second-year QB Jameis Winston is able to go the Bucs again into relevance.
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NFC WESTArizona Cardinals (April 12): In the event you’re on the lookout for a weak spot, good luck — particularly with Chandler Jones now aboard to inject extra concern into the go rush. If RB David Johnson comes near assembly expectations, final yr’s No. 1 offense would possibly common near 35 factors per week. Seattle Seahawks (Could 11): The Legion of Increase-led protection has allowed the fewest factors within the league for 4 years working. Flip the trick once more in 2016 (and even come shut), and Seattle ought to ebook a fifth consecutive playoff journey regardless of how tough a transition the offense undergoes.Los Angeles Rams (5-11): Rookie quarterback — assumption No. 1 choose Jared Goff begins. New metropolis — and difficult logistics because the franchise awaits a brand new stadium and everlasting apply facility. Powerful schedule — and that features a journey to London on the heels of a street journey to Detroit. Do not be shocked if the Rams aren’t a direct box-office smash in Hollywood even when expectations are lofty.San Francisco 49ers (2-14): Chip Kelly inherits a staff with much less expertise than he had in Philadelphia … in a harder division … plus a schedule that features 4 journeys to the East Coast.
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AFC EASTNew England Patriots (April 12): Within the final 15 seasons, they’ve solely did not win the division as soon as when QB Tom Brady has managed to start out as many as two video games. Anticipate them to outlive his month-long absence simply positive and possibly parlay the Jimmy Garoppolo Expertise right into a 2017 bidding conflict for quarterback-needy groups elsewhere within the league.Buffalo Payments (8-8): They’re going to have the ultimate shot at Brady-less Patriots in Week 4 as they enter probably essential stretch of 5 roadies in seven-game stretch. Survive that, and maybe they’re going to lastly be playoff certain for first time within the twenty first century.New York Jets (8-8): No matter who’s below middle, they face an uphill climb with the Bengals, Payments, Chiefs, Seahawks, Steelers and Cardinals the primary six opponents on the schedule. And in contrast to the Payments and Dolphins, the Jets will draw (a presumably extremely motivated) Brady twice within the common season.Miami Dolphins (7-9): A brand new regime opens with September street video games at Seattle, New England and Cincinnati. Not a simple means for rookie head coach Adam Gase to kick off his program with a bunch that has expertise however persistently underachieved in recent times.
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AFC NORTHPittsburgh Steelers (April 12): Even when they solely have reported accidents suspended RB Le’Veon Bell on the sphere for 12 video games, this offense is able to 40 factors on anybody, assuming it could actually lastly keep away from crippling. And if a turnover-generating protection marginally marginally towards the go, this can be the yr to construct a stairway to (Lombardi Trophy) seven.Cincinnati Bengals (Could 11): Little purpose to consider they will not attain the playoffs for the sixth consecutive yr, particularly if a wholesome Andy Dalton continues to progress. However will they lastly get that lengthy awaited postseason breakthrough for coach Marvin Lewis?Baltimore Ravens (9-7): They’ve solely missed the playoffs twice in eight years below John Harbaugh, so it stands to purpose they’re going to be again within the hunt a yr after dropping 20 gamers to injured reserve. However December will likely be pivotal with the Ravens going through the Patriots, Steelers and Bengals on the street to finish the season.Cleveland Browns (1-15): Will probably be some time earlier than the analytics bear fruit, and this yr’s crop doesn’t look promising.
AFC SOUTHHouston Texans (9-7): Coach Invoice O’Brien lastly appears to have the complete suite of offensive weapons he might have solely dreamed of in his first two seasons. Houston will in all probability want new QB Brock Osweiler and RB Lamar Miller to assimilate shortly with the protection virtually sure to be engaged early within the season as JJ Watt recovers from again surgical procedure.Jacksonville Jaguars (9-7): Nobody will take them calmly anymore, particularly after QB Blake Bortles’ breakthrough in 2015 appeared to determine him as one of many sport’s rising stars. Jacksonville ought to actually contend for a playoff berth and virtually should achieve this for coach Gus Bradley to stay employed after proprietor Shad Khan has proven a lot endurance.Indianapolis Colts (8-8): Proprietor Jim Irsay appears to lastly be preaching endurance, and that is in all probability smart a yr after this staff fell to this point wanting Tremendous expectations. Sure, QB Andrew Luck is wealthy and wholesome, nevertheless it stays to be seen how he adapts to a different playbook and compensates for what seems to be a weak protection in a vastly improved division. Tennessee Titans (2-14): As improved as they seem on paper, they in all probability have not made as many strides because the competitors elsewhere within the AFC South. The Vikings, Raiders, Packers and Broncos are a part of a frightening lineup of Nashville guests this season.
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AFC WESTOakland Raiders (10-6): Regardless of their unsettled civic scenario, the arrow appears to be pointing decidedly up in a division the place the Broncos look primed for a fall. The Raiders face just one 2015 playoff staff within the first half of this season and have a golden alternative for a scorching begin.Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (9-7): Reintegrating RB Jamaal Charles right into a lineup that received 11 consecutive video games with out him in 2015 ought to sign an optimistic outlook. However OLB Justin Houston (knee surgical procedure) is an enormous query, and this staff wants all its stars in a yr the place it has to journey to Houston (maybe not so pleasant a venue in 2016), Pittsburgh and Carolina.Denver Broncos (8-8): The uncertainty at quarterback is sufficient to anticipate a regression even when it is price noting how little manufacturing Peyton Manning gave them in 2015. However remember the champs are additionally overhauling their offensive line, breaking in two new defensive starters after dropping DE Malik Jackson and ILB Danny Trevathan in free company and taking part in in what seems to be an excellent stronger division.San Diego Chargers (6-10): They could not set up the run or cease it in 2015, elements that coupled to create fairly a burden on 34-year-old QB Philip Rivers. It’s miles from sure the Bolts will likely be significantly better in these departments in 2016 — not good contemplate each different roster within the division seems superior to San Diego’s.
AFC playoffsWild playing cards: (3) Raiders def. (6) Jaguars; (4) Texas def. (5) Bengals
Divisional: (2) Patriots def. (3) Raiders; (1) Steelers def. (4) Texans
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AFC Championship Recreation: (1) Steelers def. (2) Patriots
NFC playoffsWild playing cards: (3) Panthers def. (6) Vikings, (5) Seahawks def. (4) Giants
Divisional: (1) Cardinals def. (5) Seahawks; (2) Packers def. (3) Panthers
NFC Championship Recreation: (1) Cardinals def. (2) Packers
Tremendous Bowl LI: Steelers def. Cardinals
Observe Nate Davis on Twitter @ByNateDavis
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